Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 4.737278 5.142455 5.581220 6.094294 6.681189 7.335657 8.126449
2025-03-09 4.019712 4.562033 5.191004 5.984562 6.974100 8.188531 9.826646
2025-03-16 3.619080 4.230463 4.973252 5.962077 7.276377 9.014551 11.583803
2025-03-23 3.390670 4.058972 4.902389 6.077239 7.728612 10.067192 13.844125
2025-03-30 3.105323 3.778135 4.649784 5.903438 7.738671 10.475123 15.215600
2025-04-06 2.876830 3.547192 4.434784 5.746423 7.735342 10.840496 16.581900
2025-04-13 2.691367 3.356779 4.254569 5.613248 7.739563 11.202761 18.018191
2025-04-20 2.553028 3.219050 4.133977 5.550905 7.838573 11.727758 19.900667
2025-04-27 2.489562 3.179008 4.146302 5.686067 8.268050 12.899384 23.505044
2025-05-04 2.430103 3.139354 4.154047 5.811562 8.694126 14.147214 27.808931
2025-05-11 2.338433 3.047068 4.075757 5.789329 8.854315 14.902510 31.233552
2025-05-18 2.245906 2.948000 3.979951 5.728244 8.933372 15.502482 34.530468
2025-05-25 2.129819 2.812923 3.827594 5.571616 8.837937 15.760826 37.153461
2025-06-01 2.037714 2.709972 3.720456 5.486053 8.875237 16.348072 41.351731
2025-06-08 1.968099 2.636999 3.655451 5.467273 9.041736 17.286117 47.634509
2025-06-15 1.929073 2.608134 3.658345 5.568482 9.468433 19.002053 59.042175
2025-06-22 1.842753 2.501872 3.528692 5.415835 9.332474 19.183435 63.491289
2025-06-29 1.765427 2.406338 3.411675 5.277684 9.211723 19.384674 68.435628
2025-07-06 1.697414 2.322574 3.309848 5.160325 9.123196 19.663019 74.363302
2025-07-13 1.645285 2.261780 3.243381 5.105329 9.170602 20.372053 84.448986
2025-07-20 1.627265 2.254278 3.266260 5.224517 9.642621 22.591326 111.677448
2025-07-27 1.608407 2.244386 3.284133 5.335025 10.113029 25.021499 151.609867
2025-08-03 1.569393 2.200050 3.239581 5.315459 10.254094 26.327400 186.159729